Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.003676 0.003860 0.004049 0.004256 0.004479 0.004711 0.004971
2025-07-27 0.003327 0.003598 0.003887 0.004218 0.004590 0.004996 0.005474
2025-08-03 0.003109 0.003428 0.003777 0.004191 0.004669 0.005208 0.005866
2025-08-10 0.002939 0.003290 0.003683 0.004159 0.004723 0.005377 0.006200
2025-08-17 0.002856 0.003242 0.003682 0.004226 0.004886 0.005671 0.006688
2025-08-24 0.002743 0.003149 0.003619 0.004210 0.004944 0.005834 0.007018
2025-08-31 0.002637 0.003057 0.003551 0.004182 0.004979 0.005966 0.007308
2025-09-07 0.002531 0.002959 0.003469 0.004130 0.004977 0.006045 0.007529
2025-09-14 0.002432 0.002866 0.003389 0.004074 0.004965 0.006108 0.007727
2025-09-21 0.002372 0.002817 0.003359 0.004079 0.005030 0.006272 0.008066
2025-09-28 0.002257 0.002696 0.003235 0.003958 0.004922 0.006197 0.008067
2025-10-05 0.002204 0.002651 0.003204 0.003955 0.004970 0.006333 0.008371
2025-10-12 0.002178 0.002639 0.003216 0.004009 0.005099 0.006587 0.008861
2025-10-19 0.002114 0.002577 0.003162 0.003973 0.005101 0.006663 0.009093
2025-10-26 0.002060 0.002525 0.003117 0.003947 0.005115 0.006756 0.009353
2025-11-02 0.002007 0.002473 0.003071 0.003918 0.005122 0.006837 0.009596
2025-11-09 0.001992 0.002471 0.003092 0.003980 0.005260 0.007115 0.010164
2025-11-16 0.001950 0.002431 0.003059 0.003966 0.005288 0.007228 0.010473
2025-11-23 0.001905 0.002386 0.003019 0.003940 0.005296 0.007311 0.010736
2025-11-30 0.001855 0.002333 0.002965 0.003891 0.005268 0.007336 0.010901
2025-12-07 0.001806 0.002279 0.002910 0.003840 0.005233 0.007348 0.011045
2025-12-14 0.001778 0.002255 0.002894 0.003845 0.005283 0.007496 0.011429
2025-12-21 0.001712 0.002177 0.002801 0.003733 0.005151 0.007345 0.011281